Trend Analysis of Temperature and Rainfall across Agro Climatic Zones of Karnataka-A Semi Arid State in India
Seedari Ujwala Rani *
Division of Agricultural Economics, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India.
Naveen P. Singh
National Institute of Agricultural Economics and Policy Research, New Delhi, India.
Pramod Kumar
Division of Agricultural Economics, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India.
Rabindra Nath Padaria
Division of Agricultural Extension, Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India.
Ranjit Kumar Paul
Indian Agricultural Statistical Research Institute, New Delhi, India.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
The study was carried out for ten Agro climatic zones in Karnataka state in India. The temperature and rainfall data were used for analysis from 1979-2019 which is about 40 years. Understanding spatiotemporal rainfall pattern, Rainfall Anomaly Index which is drought indicator technique was used to classify the positive and negative severities in rainfall anomalies. The RAI ranges below 0.2 are considered as dry zone. The analysis resulted that, all zones are falls in category of dry zone with range of 0.2 to 0.4. For past five years, North Eastern Transition Zone was noted maximum times falling in the range of RAI below 0.2 and near to zero. Statistical techniques like linear trend estimation, R square was used for trend estimation across annual, seasonal to identify the variation in the temperature across different zones. The meaningful statistically significant achieves when there is r2≥0.65 and p≤0.05. It was analysed that, hilly Zone experienced decreased trend in both minimum and maximum temperature in all seasons which ultimately reflected in annual temperature to decrease with high R square values.
Keywords: Agro climatic zones, spatio temporal, rainfall anomaly index, drought indicator